GPA Week 11 Preview

Gregor’s Packer Analysis

Week 11 Preview

In this issue:

The Bears go to San Francisco
The Packers head to Detroit

The Chicago Bears are, to quote Dennis Green, “who we thought they were.” A very good defense, excellent special teams, a below average offensive line, and a quarterback in Jay Cutler who performs very well when he has good protection and very poorly when he doesn’t. Brandon Marshall helps the passing game, and Matt Forte and Michael Bush are an excellent running tandem. This team is good enough to beat the good, marginal and bad teams. But they couldn’t beat the Packers, couldn’t beat the Texans, and got lucky to beat the Panthers with a 4th quarter comeback on a pick 6 and shut out Detroit when they only scored 13 points. In every game but Houston, the opponent got to Cutler and he struggled. JJ Watt likely would have had a huge game in better conditions against that O line, but couldn’t get footing in the rain and mud Sunday night.

This week, they play the 49ers. Both Cutler and San Francisco’s Alex Smith were knocked out of their last game with a concussion. The 49ers are similar to the Bears, with maybe a better defense, special teams that aren’t quite as good, and a running game that’s similar with Frank Gore. The passing game isn’t spectacular, but it’s not as erratic. Both teams have given up more sacks than they’ve sacked opponents (29 to 17 for SF, 30 to 24 for Chicago).

Smith has been cleared to play, Cutler hasn’t yet, but since it’s a Monday Night game it’s still possible. If it’s Jason Campbell it’s an upgrade over Caleb Hanie last year. But the offense was inconsistent with Cutler, it’s more one dimensional with Campbell. The Bears weren’t going to win with Cutler, and they aren’t going to win with Campbell. The line is San Francisco by 5. The 49ers win by 6.

The Green Bay Packers play the Detroit Lions. Some seasons they play a Thanksgiving Day game. This year it’s 4 days before Thanksgiving. That does make a difference. It’s not a national game, it’s a regional game, one of several games starting at noon (Central). And it’s not a holiday game, it’s a regular Sunday game.

Sure it will be loud. But Aaron Rodgers has no problem in domes, in fact, the Packers play very well indoors. Just look at the games against Houston or St. Louis this year. Or recent years against Minnesota or Detroit (except when Rodgers got a concussion in Detroit and the Pack lost a low scoring game before losing to the Patriots the next week).

The bad news is Charles Woodson is still out, Clay Matthews will miss this game, and Bryan Bulaga was placed on IR joining some other key players like Desmond Bishop and Nick Perry. Losing Matthews is huge, he’s a difference maker / game changer on defense. And Detroit’s front 4 is the strength of their defense. With Bulaga out, the line was juggled, moving TJ Lang to right tackle and putting Evan Dietrich-Smith in at left guard. The good news is Greg Jennings will be back.

The Packers are coming off a bye, the Lions are coming off a 10 point loss to Minnesota. A win will likely move Green Bay into a first place tie with the Bears, assuming Chicago loses at San Francisco Monday Night. But the Lions need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. This has the potential to be a high scoring game, both teams could end up in the 30s, or higher. As one of the Saints defenders said recently, “we know Drew will put up 30 points, all we need to do is get a few stops.” That’s one way to rally the troops. You don’t have to win every play. You don’t have to keep them off the scoreboard on every possession, just make a play once in awhile. Way to aim high.

The line is Green Bay by 3 and a half. This is a pretty even game without Clay Matthews. Both quarterbacks can air it out. Calvin Johnson had a huge game last week, Aaron Rodgers keeps everyone involved. But look for the Packers defense to “get a few stops”, at least one more than the Lions. Pack by 7.
Gregor’s Packer Analysis

Week 11 Preview

In this issue:

The Bears go to San Francisco
The Packers head to Detroit

The Chicago Bears are, to quote Dennis Green, “who we thought they were.” A very good defense, excellent special teams, a below average offensive line, and a quarterback in Jay Cutler who performs very well when he has good protection and very poorly when he doesn’t. Brandon Marshall helps the passing game, and Matt Forte and Michael Bush are an excellent running tandem. This team is good enough to beat the good, marginal and bad teams. But they couldn’t beat the Packers, couldn’t beat the Texans, and got lucky to beat the Panthers with a 4th quarter comeback on a pick 6 and shut out Detroit when they only scored 13 points. In every game but Houston, the opponent got to Cutler and he struggled. JJ Watt likely would have had a huge game in better conditions against that O line, but couldn’t get footing in the rain and mud Sunday night.

This week, they play the 49ers. Both Cutler and San Francisco’s Alex Smith were knocked out of their last game with a concussion. The 49ers are similar to the Bears, with maybe a better defense, special teams that aren’t quite as good, and a running game that’s similar with Frank Gore. The passing game isn’t spectacular, but it’s not as erratic. Both teams have given up more sacks than they’ve sacked opponents (29 to 17 for SF, 30 to 24 for Chicago).

Smith has been cleared to play, Cutler hasn’t yet, but since it’s a Monday Night game it’s still possible. If it’s Jason Campbell it’s an upgrade over Caleb Hanie last year. But the offense was inconsistent with Cutler, it’s more one dimensional with Campbell. The Bears weren’t going to win with Cutler, and they aren’t going to win with Campbell. The line is San Francisco by 5. The 49ers win by 6.

The Green Bay Packers play the Detroit Lions. Some seasons they play a Thanksgiving Day game. This year it’s 4 days before Thanksgiving. That does make a difference. It’s not a national game, it’s a regional game, one of several games starting at noon (Central). And it’s not a holiday game, it’s a regular Sunday game.

Sure it will be loud. But Aaron Rodgers has no problem in domes, in fact, the Packers play very well indoors. Just look at the games against Houston or St. Louis this year. Or recent years against Minnesota or Detroit (except when Rodgers got a concussion in Detroit and the Pack lost a low scoring game before losing to the Patriots the next week).

The bad news is Charles Woodson is still out, Clay Matthews will miss this game, and Bryan Bulaga was placed on IR joining some other key players like Desmond Bishop and Nick Perry. Losing Matthews is huge, he’s a difference maker / game changer on defense. And Detroit’s front 4 is the strength of their defense. With Bulaga out, the line was juggled, moving TJ Lang to right tackle and putting Evan Dietrich-Smith in at left guard. The good news is Greg Jennings will be back.

The Packers are coming off a bye, the Lions are coming off a 10 point loss to Minnesota. A win will likely move Green Bay into a first place tie with the Bears, assuming Chicago loses at San Francisco Monday Night. But the Lions need a win to keep their playoff hopes alive. This has the potential to be a high scoring game, both teams could end up in the 30s, or higher. As one of the Saints defenders said recently, “we know Drew will put up 30 points, all we need to do is get a few stops.” That’s one way to rally the troops. You don’t have to win every play. You don’t have to keep them off the scoreboard on every possession, just make a play once in awhile. Way to aim high.

The line is Green Bay by 3 and a half. This is a pretty even game without Clay Matthews. Both quarterbacks can air it out. Calvin Johnson had a huge game last week, Aaron Rodgers keeps everyone involved. But look for the Packers defense to “get a few stops”, at least one more than the Lions. Pack by 7.

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